This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight PPV card in Australia. DraftKings changed up their contests a bit and I like the new selection of contests and prizes. The most important GPP is currently a $10 buy and $30k belongs to 1st location. They also have a new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and that $175k will be distributed between all 100 admissions that qualify. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers therefore be cautious chasing those too hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and throw 100 or so entries at the $30k decoration. I’ll also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a good quantity of play into money games.
Cash Game play of this week — Shane Young ($9,100)
I’m not loving this slate to get cash games, and that I was only going to pick the main event stack for my money game play of the week. However, I can see the main event just scoring ~100 total points and when I am stacking I want a floor of 100 with upside of 160 or so. I have changed my stance on the stack and I think Shane Young creates a fantastic money game play. I don’t understand how high of a ceiling he’s since I do think this fight goes 3 rounds, but I really do feel confident in him winning and even more confident in him not getting completed. I believe he’s a high floor because this fight should go all 3 rounds, but I presume he’s the better fighter anyplace and I see him winning this battle with a combination of striking and wrestling. I really do think he has 100-point upside into a decision, and I also think he could complete this fight. However, I feel like he is a safe play for 80+ and that’s why he is my cash game play of the week instead of my GPP play. GPP play of the week — Kyung Ho Kang ($9,400)
I believe the only way Kang loses this battle is by getting KO’d. He should be the far superior fighter on the mat, and I believe he can hang the toes too. I expect him to look for takedowns early and frequently, and Ishihara has no ground game to compete off his back. Since Ishihara does possess hefty power in his hands I believe Kang has a floor of 0 things, but this is why he is my GPP play of the week rather than my cash game play of this week. In money, I wish to lock in higher floors and that is not what we’ve got here. I like this more for GPPs because when he loses $9.4k it won’t matter how many things he has, we would not be cashing. In cash games, we might still come away with a gain if he lost a determination at that price and still scored 30-40 points, we would simply need to hit on our other spots. We don’t need 6 wins in cash, but we do for GPP. So, we can take the chance on a 0 there because he’s 100+ upside since he will be the fighter wanting to grapple and that I could see him becoming multiple takedowns in addition to a submission. I believe he has a 1st or 2nd round entry and I do not expect for him to stand too long using Ishihara. I think Kang can outscore Adesanya in this spot and I enjoy him as a pivot from a big name who might be popular.
Underdog drama of the week — Kelvin Gastelum ($7,300)
I’m actually picking Whittaker to win this particular fight, but I also don’t really like many/any underdogs with this card. I expect this struggle to stay standing for as long as it lasts. I personally find this going the distance and Whittaker winning a unanimous decision. If that’s the case, then I believe Gastelum gets the maximum floor of the underdogs because he’ll have 5 rounds to work with and he’ll land a fair number of shots. I also believe if Whittaker wins a 25-minute conclusion that he probably only scores 85-95 DK points. At his $8.9k salary, that may not put him on the $30k lineup. In case Kelvin wins, if it be by KO or conclusion, he’ll probably be on that $30k lineup in his $7.3k salary. That’s why he’s my underdog play of this week.
Fade of the week — Sam Alvey ($7,900)
I have to remain on brand with this one and select Sam Alvey as my fade of the week. I have chosen him my fade every time he’s fought so that I will roll with it . The style Alvey brings to the table is just not valuable for DraftKings. The only way Alvey can possibly score highly is by obtaining a knockout win. He fails to strike a high enough pace to score highly in a decision and he won’t be going for any takedowns. Even if he receives a conclusion win here he could score 50-60 DK points and that may not be adequate to acquire a GPP, even with him being the underdog. I need at least 10x out of a fighter when I roll them and with his $7.9k price tag, so I need at least 79 DK points. I really don’t see that happening and that’s the reason he is my fade of this week.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight on the card and provide my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link as well. I’m 54-34 to get +177.13u (+$17,713) since May 19th on Premium Plays)

Read more: sportslivestream-tv.com