Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:

Both guys come into this fight on career highs. Santos has looked unstoppable since going up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four fight win streak. This matchup however appears to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio will be a large factor and there a few tougher than Blachowicz. Santos throws everything with full power and is based on completing competitions. At a five round fight this strategy is a risky one that is going to backfire in the later rounds. Blachowicz brings quitting power of their own but conserves cardio to get a more consistent output. On the feet both men can get their moments, but the precise jab of Blachowicz will be likely to cause Santos problems. His boxing is dangerous yet wild and also a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The biggest advantage goes to Blachowicz around the ground. Since Santos tires that the takedowns will be open and Santos has historically struggled at the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills must find Blachowicz a complete when the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz at 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the toes Ismagulov is fast with his in and out striking. Defensively he averts trouble whilst throwing in some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez looks slower on the toes using a riskier design. He keeps his hands but does throw competitive combinations. The significant differential lies in the grappling section. Alvarez has not shown good takedown defense on the regional landscape and relies on high risk submissions off his spine. This strategy seldom succeeds. Search for Ismagulov to push his edge standing and look for trips and takedowns into the mat where he favours control and top position through floor and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) odds. Risk 5 Components to win 1.70 Units.
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